Modern News

From Keith Hennessey

The House passed their version of health care reform Saturday night on a 220-215 vote.  Today I’m going to update my projections and analysis, and focus on upcoming “pivot points” in the health care debate.

1. Pass a partisan comprehensive bill through the House and through the regular Senate process with 60, leading to a law this year; (was 50% –> 40%)
2. Pass a partisan comprehensive bill through the House and through the reconciliation process with 51 Senate Democrats, leading to a law this year; (was 10% –> 20%)
3. Fall back to a much more limited bill that becomes law this year; (was 10% –> 20%)
4. No bill becomes law this year Congress.  Process continues into next year. (was 29.99% –> 20%)